We’re into the final quarter of the season, with most teams having three games left.
This season, games reffed is the next tie breaker after number of wins. I suspect some teams may regret not having reffed more/any games after the final regular season games are played, as there are many tiebreaker situations possible where games reffed is the deciding factor. For the percentages given, I’ve taken the current number of games reffed as the tiebreaker, although obviously this could change and I’m not sure if a cap was announced on this before moving on to other tiebreakers. This is what I have for games reffed by team:
- Creasers 7
- Shrek’s Swampers 6
- b1by d1n1s1r1 p1ssm1n 6 (and one “no-show” for a late postpone for if it goes to the next tiebreaker)
- Misfits 5
- Breakaway 4
- lizird strikirs 0
- Hamburger Hill 0
edit: I’ve since been told that there is a cap of 4 games so all teams are safe for this tiebreaker except LZS & HHH; I will need to look again at tiebreaker situations to correct the %ages
Misfits 
Record: 8-1
Remaining opponents: SKS, CR, HHH
Nearly guaranteed top seed (99.9% chance). It would take an upset worthy of the last few minutes of a BA @ HHH game for them to not claim the President’s Trophy.
Creasers 
Record: 5-4
Remaining opponents: MSF, SKS, LZS
Our most likely #2 seed.
Has a 65.5% chance of being in the top 3, 34.5% chance of being in the play-in game.
Leading in games reffed for tiebreakers.
lizird strikirs 
Record: 5-4
Remaining opponents: HHH, BA, CR
65.9% chance of being in the top 3, 33.2% chance of being in the play-in game, 0.9% chance of slipping out of the playoffs positions.
Loses tiebreakers due to no games reffed.
Has one of the easiest run ins, and is the only team out of those tied on 5-4 who don’t have to face the runaway Misfits.
Shrek’s Swampers 
Record: 5-4
Remaining opponents: MSF, CR, BA
55.8% chance of being in the top 3, 43.4% chance of being in the play-in game, 0.8% chance of slipping out of the playoffs positions.
Breakaway 
Record: 4-5
Remaining opponents: LZS, BDP, SKS
Currently occupying the last playoff spot, and is most at risk to a late charge from BDP or HHH.
12.9% chance of being in the top 3, 64.4% chance of being in the play-in game, 22.7% chance of slipping out of the playoffs positions.
b1by d1n1s1r1 p1ssm1n 
Record: 3-7
Remaining opponents: BA, HHH
The only team with just two games left, but are facing the other teams in the lower half.
24.4% chance of making the play-in game, 75.6% chance of missing out.
Their fate is not in their own hands: even if they win out they will need help from other teams.
Hamburger Hill 3 
Record: 2-7
Remaining opponents: LZS, MSF, BDP
0.05% chance of a miracle comeback. Even with sliders pushed to full, they lose tiebreaker situations because of being too lazy to ref.